Item – Pairwise comparisons of predictions (from the LMMs) between each unique set of two metrics. – Public Library of Science

The y-axis shows the fold change in predictive titers between metrics, and the two metrics being compared in each subplot are shown as the subplot labels. Each line represents the predictions for the first metric in the pair at a given antigenic distance value divided by the predictions for the second metric in the pair. Color and linetype correspond to different strain types. The solid black lines on the plot are reference lines at a value of 1 for no effect, and at 4 and 1/4, effect values which would represent a clinically notable deviation in HAI predictions beyond what is expected from measurement error. Lines represent the mean of the posterior distribution of the contrast and the colored ribbons represent the 95% highest density credible interval (HDCI) for each strain type in each subplot.</p>

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